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Transatlantic Business
The Time To Reach A Transatlantic Free Trade Agreement Is Short - Let’s Use It Wisely
It Finally Happened
On the 2nd of March 2020, it finally happened: After a long wait, the United Kingdom (UK) published its objectives for a future UK-US Free Trade Agreement (FTA). Spanning over 180 pages, the document consists of an impressive bundle, laying out the UK Government’s strategic approach, objectives, as well as comprehensive evidence supporting the case for an FTA with the United States (US).
The Case For UK-US Economic Integration Is Strong
Despite critics pointing out that the economic benefit of a UK-US FTA would not outweigh the economic damage should the UK and the EU not reach a trade agreement by the end of the year, the case for future deeper economic integration between the US and the UK is strong.
Building on such an important trading relationship makes sense. Looking beyond the numbers, every single simplification, whether it be less processing time in customs or increased market access can make a difference to a company and to local and regional communities.
Time Is Short
With the UK objectives for a UK-US FTA now released, negotiations are likely to start soon. Historically, when starting negotiations for a (comprehensive) trade deal, one would look at least several years of negotiations to find compromise, draft and then implement the texts. It is true that both UK and the US have done a lot of work over the past two years towards this. Earlier this year, US Secretary of the Treasury, Steven Mnuchin, said that the US would dedicate a lot of resources to secure a deal. Yet, when looking at successful policy-making through the necessary interplay of policies and politics, time seems rather short.
In particular, the UK has to balance its trading interests with the EU and the US, two economic entities with fundamental differences in some areas. While understandable and economically reasonable, this delicate balancing act will delay decision-making on policy issues between the UK and the US. This is in addition to areas where the UK and the US will most likely have to spend a significant amount of time to iron out differences, such as food safety, sustainability, or online harm protection.
Second, the UK Government has ruled out a scenario in which both the UK and the EU would allow more time to negotiate post- 2020 should they not come to an agreement. This will mean that after summer, business attention in the UK will move back to ‘no-deal’ preparation, taking away momentum and resources from supporting a UK-US deal.
Even if negotiations between the UK and the EU were to make quick progress, the focus of the US will soon be squarely on the upcoming election. No matter who is in the White House come November, political standstill on policy issues is likely towards the end of the year.
This takes us to a final signpost that defines the timeframe the UK and the US have got. By July 2021, the US Congress will need to renew the Trade Promotion Authority (TPA), the laws that guide the US Administration in how to pursue trade deals. Should the new TPA be different from the current version, a negotiated text may have to be amended, if not re-negotiated.
Let’s Use it Wisely
In my view, we are looking at a trade honeymoon of 5+ months. That is short. The good news is that there is enough common ground between the UK and the US negotiating objectives to be optimistic about an agreement. Areas like digital trade or trade facilitation are particularly relevant to smaller businesses, and can help the UK and the US lead the way. It is these areas where there is common ground that should set the direction.
While ambitious, the UK and the US should focus on these areas of commonality so that something can be agreed before the summer. To acknowledge and celebrate the release of the UK negotiation objectives, BritishAmerican Business published a White Paper making a case for making labour mobility between the UK and the US easier. We know that immigration issues are challenging to include in trade talks, but if the UK and the US can agree on tangible issues like this, then we have truly reason to be optimistic about the future transatlantic economic relationship.
Emanuel Adam is Executive Director of BritishAmerican Business in London. As an influential advocate for transatlantic trade, he has been a leading voice for combining a positive vision for trade with a realistic approach that delivers local, and tangible benefits to businesses. Visit www.babinc.org for further information.
The ‘Special Relationship’
The United Kingdom has no closer ally than the United States. Jointly our two countries take action to meet the challenges we face locally, nationally and globally. Our bilateral co-operation reflects the common language, ideals and democratic principles of two nations built over the centuries.
Despite the current period of uncertainty, largely owing to the UK’s decision to leave the EU and a new Administration in Washington DC, there is considerable reason for optimism as the British-American economic relationship remains a source of strength. We are the largest investors in each other’s economies and every day more than one million Americans go to work for a UK company headquartered in the US. Similarly, more than one million British people go to work every day for an American company in the UK. The business activities of thousands of companies drive trade and investment across our two nations.
It was in this spirit that BritishAmerican Business recently launched two new publications, in partnership with the UK Embassy in Washington DC. Across the Pond looks at 32 transatlantic success stories, featuring companies who have successfully branched out across the Atlantic Ocean. Featuring stories from companies including Boeing, National Football League, BT, NBC Universal, Brompton and Jaguar Land Rover among others these stories highlight the best qualities of the ‘special relationship’. Take a company like Zebra Technologies, founded in the US in 1969, who entered the UK market in 1991 with the establishment of their European HQ in Buckinghamshire. Since that time, the company has grown to more than 470 employees in the United Kingdom. Or Pavegen, founded in the UK in 2009, who have grown to become the global leader in converting footfall into energy and data. The company recently completed installations in Dupont Circle, Washington DC, powering outdoor street lights and has worked with leading US brands including American Express, Ford and Nike. We were delighted to welcome more than 100 guests to the iconic One Great George Street venue for the official launch of Across the Pond, including senior MPs, representatives from the UK and US Government and BAB members.
Promoting the US-UK relationship lies at the very heart of what BritishAmerican Business does, and in that context it was a welcome opportunity to be invited to address the UK House of Commons International Trade Committee looking at UK-US relations. Addressing our Submission entitled, Moving Forward, we identified ten key areas that serve as a starting point for collaboration between the two countries that could serve as a framework for a future trade agreement. Below are the 10 areas that we see as a starting point for collaboration, which can help leaders strengthen this special relationship and shape objectives for the future: